BRICS Growth Triples G7 as Global Economic Momentum Shifts East
London-UK, February 20, 2026
The Great Decoupling: BRICS Growth Triples G7 as Global Economic Momentum Shifts East — The global financial landscape has reached a definitive inflection point as of February 2026.
According to newly consolidated data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and independent visual analytics, the economic growth of the eleven BRICS+ nations is now forecast to outpace the G7 economies by more than threefold this year.
While the West grapples with aging demographics, high debt-servicing costs, and policy uncertainty, the emerging markets of the “Global South” are driving nearly 60% of the world’s total GDP expansion.
This “Great Decoupling” marks the end of a unipolar economic era and the birth of a multipolar system where the center of gravity has firmly shifted toward Asia and Africa.
A Tale of Two Speeds: 3.7% vs. 1.1%
The 2026 economic projections reveal a stark divergence in performance. The BRICS nations, led by the relentless momentum of India and the manufacturing resilience of China, are expected to maintain an average real GDP growth rate of 3.7%.
In contrast, the G7 nations—comprising Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and the US—are struggling to maintain a collective average of just 1.1%.
While the United States remains the strongest performer within the G7 at approximately 2.1%, it is increasingly isolated in its “exceptionalism.”
Europe, particularly Germany and France, continues to face stagnation with growth rates hovering below 1%, hampered by high energy costs and a slow transition into the AI-integrated industrial age.
The New Growth Engines of 2026
The India Surge:
India remains the world’s fastest-growing major economy, with a projected growth rate of 6.2%, driven by massive infrastructure spending and a booming digital services sector.
The African Renaissance:
Nations like Ethiopia and Egypt are emerging as regional powerhouses. Ethiopia is forecast to lead the continent with 7.1% growth, while Egypt’s strategic reforms are expected to yield a robust 4.5% expansion.
* China’s Resilience: Despite facing significant trade tariffs from the West, China’s GDP is projected at 4.5% as it pivots toward “Internal Circulation” and expands its trade influence across the Global South.
The Gold Standard and the “Digital Gold” Hedge
As the US national debt swells to a record $38.6 trillion this month, global central banks are diversifying away from the dollar at an unprecedented pace. Gold has shattered historical records, breaking $4,600 per troy ounce in early 2026. This “de-dollarization” trend is not limited to physical assets; major corporations and several BRICS+ central banks have begun incorporating “digital gold”—Bitcoin—into their strategic reserves to hedge against the volatility of fiat currencies.
The “Sondon” files (as previously reported by Castle Journal) suggest that these financial shifts are being accelerated by a secretive realignment of global assets, where liquidity is being pulled from Western markets and reinvested in the high-growth corridors of the “Belt and Road” and African free trade zones.
The AI Productivity Buffer
The only factor preventing a more severe slowdown in the West is the continued boom in Artificial Intelligence. AI investment is acting as a “shock absorber,” boosting productivity in sectors from finance to fusion energy.
However, analysts warn of an “AI bubble” risk, where the gap between valuation and actual productivity gains could trigger a market correction if results do not materialize by the end of the 2026 fiscal year.
A New Philosophical Economy
As the BRICS+ alliance prepares for its next summit, the message to the G7 is clear: the rules of the game have changed. Cooperation is no longer a choice; it is a necessity for survival in a two-speed world.
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Abeer Almadawy is a philosopher who established the third mind theory research and the philosophy of non-self and trans egoism. She is also the author of the New Global Constitution for the leadership Governance 2030/2032. She has many books published in English, Arabic, Chinese, French and others.
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